Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 27 June 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 26 Jun 2025
- Respondents
- 1,378
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%+2.0
- AfD22.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 Jun 2025.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,378 people were surveyed from 24 to 26 Jun 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 6 Jun 2025, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 27.8
- AfD -1.1average 23.1
- BSW -1.1average 4.1
- Grüne +0.6average 11.4
- FDP -0.4average 3.4
- Linke +0.3average 9.7
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU208
- AfD157
- SPD107
- Grüne86
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne401 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke366 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne350 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.