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Pollster and election

Civey on the federal election

113 polls since 24 January 2017, the latest from 20 February 2025 for Seven.One. Against the current average of all pollsters, Civey has CDU/CSU +9.7 and AfD -6.9.

  • CDU/CSU30.0%+4.0
  • AfD21.0%+2.0
  • SPD15.0%-4.0
  • Grüne14.0%-1.0
  • Linke7.0%+2.0
  • FDP5.0%-2.0
  • BSW4.0%
  • Freie Wähler1.0%
  • Others3.0%-6.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Civey poll of 3 Aug 2023.

This poll in detail

Trend

All Civey figures for the federal election

0102030Jul 23Sep 23Nov 23Jan 24Mar 24May 24Jul 24Sep 24Nov 24Jan 25CDU/CSUAfDSPDGrüneLinkeFDPBSWFreie Wähler
Dots are individual polls, lines the rolling average over 45 days. Period 16 Jun 2023 to 20 Feb 2025. Tap the tiles to hide parties.
Accuracy

Civey before the last elections

Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.

  • Election 23 Feb 2025 (poll 20 Feb 2025)1.3 ptsbiggest miss Grüne +2.4
  • Election 26 Sep 2021 (poll 23 Sep 2021)0.8 ptsbiggest miss Grüne +1.2
  • Election 24 Sep 2017 (poll 22 Sep 2017)1.7 ptsbiggest miss CDU/CSU +3.3
Archive

All 113 polls

Civey polls for the federal election
PollsterPublishedCDU/CSUAfDSPDGrüneLinkeFDPBSWFreie WählerOthers
Civey20 Feb 20253021151475413
Civey3 Aug 20232619191557––9
Civey16 Jun 20232520191657––8
Civey7 Dec 20222813192147––8
Civey25 Aug 20222711192257––9
Civey18 Jul 20222710202357––8
Civey23 May 20222711222058––7
Civey25 Apr 20222511242049––7
Civey3 Feb 202225112515610––8
Civey8 Dec 202123112715511––8
Civey1 Dec 202124112615511––8
Civey24 Nov 202124112515511––9
Civey17 Nov 202123112615512––8
Civey3 Nov 202122112615513––8
Civey27 Oct 202121122515514––8
Civey20 Oct 202120112515615––8
Civey13 Oct 202120112614615––8
Civey6 Oct 202119112815614––7
Civey23 Sep 202123102516612––8
Civey15 Sep 202123102517612––7
Civey8 Sep 202123112517611––7
Civey1 Sep 202123102518611––7
Civey25 Aug 202122122218712––7
Civey18 Aug 202124111920712––7
Civey11 Aug 202124111820712––8
Civey4 Aug 202125111721612––8
Civey28 Jul 202126111721712––6
Civey21 Jul 202126111721611––8
Civey14 Jul 202128101920611––6
Civey7 Jul 20213091821611––5
Civey30 Jun 20212991722612––5
Civey23 Jun 20213091622612––5
Civey16 Jun 20213091621613––5
Civey9 Jun 202129101621612––6
Civey2 Jun 202129101622612––5
Civey26 May 202127101623613––5
Civey19 May 202126101623612––7
Civey12 May 202127101624611––6
Civey5 May 20212791525611––7
Civey26 Apr 20212491529611––6
Civey21 Apr 20212910152579––6
Civey14 Apr 20213010142379––7
Civey7 Apr 202128101523710––7
Civey31 Mar 20212910162379––6
Civey24 Mar 20212810162379––7
Civey17 Mar 20212911172189––7
Civey17 Feb 20213310152088––6
Civey25 Jun 202034.911.514.917.88.16.3––6.5
Civey28 Apr 202038.910.715.914.37.46.7––6.1
Civey14 Apr 202038.610.116.815.37.66.5––5.1
Civey18 Mar 202030.610.815.822.18.65.7––6.4
Civey27 Feb 202028.712.316.121.59.16.4––5.9
Civey18 Feb 202029.414.81420.59.26.8––5.3
Civey14 Nov 201927.713.114.320.59.68.7––6.1
Civey1 Oct 201927.913.113.722.688.5––6.2
Civey11 Jul 201926.713.313.824.78.28.7––4.6
Civey11 Jun 201928.310.713.923.87.69.2––6.5
Civey29 Apr 201929.113.316.418.28.79.3––5
Civey25 Feb 201930.712.217.417.38.78.8––4.9
Civey7 Feb 201931.212.916179.39.3––4.3

The 60 most recent; older ones via the Chronicle.

Other elections covered by this pollster

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

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