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Pollster and election

Civey on the Lower Saxony state election

4 polls since 2 October 2017, the latest from 6 October 2022 for DER SPIEGEL. Against the current average of all pollsters, Civey has AfD -11.0 and SPD +7.0.

  • SPD33.0%+2.0
  • CDU27.0%-2.0
  • Grüne17.0%-2.0
  • AfD10.0%+3.0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Civey poll of 13 Sep 2022.

This poll in detail

Trend

All Civey figures for the Lower Saxony state election

0102030406 Oct29 Sep22 Sep15 SepSPDCDUGrüneAfDFDPLinke
Dots are individual polls, lines the rolling average over 120 days. Period 13 Sep 2022 to 6 Oct 2022. Tap the tiles to hide parties.
Accuracy

Civey before the last elections

Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.

  • Election 9 Oct 2022 (poll 6 Oct 2022)1.1 ptsbiggest miss Grüne +2.5
  • Election 15 Oct 2017 (poll 13 Oct 2017)1.4 ptsbiggest miss SPD -2.3
Archive

All 4 polls

Civey polls for the Lower Saxony state election
PollsterPublishedSPDCDUGrüneAfDFDPLinkeOthers
Civey6 Oct 202233271710544
Civey13 Sep 20223129197644
Civey13 Oct 201734.631.88.57.88.95.72.7
Civey2 Oct 201732.833.19.98.185.42.7

Other elections covered by this pollster

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

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