Pollster and election
Civey on the Hesse state election
7 polls since 31 August 2018, the latest from 1 October 2023 for DER SPIEGEL. Against the current average of all pollsters, Civey has AfD -6.0 and Grüne +4.5.
- CDU31.0%+2.0
- Grüne18.0%-2.0
- SPD16.0%-2.0
- AfD15.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Others10.0%+2.0
31.0%
+2.0
CDU
18.0%
-2.0
Grüne
16.0%
-2.0
SPD
15.0%
-1.0
AfD
6.0%
±0
FDP
4.0%
+1.0
Linke
10.0%
+2.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Civey poll of 31 Aug 2023.
Trend
All Civey figures for the Hesse state election
Accuracy
Civey before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 8 Oct 2023 (poll 1 Oct 2023)2.2 ptsbiggest miss CDU -3.6
- Election 28 Oct 2018 (poll 25 Oct 2018)0.9 ptsbiggest miss SPD +2.2
Archive
All 7 polls
| Pollster | Published | CDU | Grüne | SPD | AfD | FDP | Linke | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civey | 1 Oct 2023 | 31 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Civey | 31 Aug 2023 | 29 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| Civey | 17 Aug 2023 | 29 | 19 | 20 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| Civey | 25 Oct 2018 | 27 | 18.5 | 22 | 13 | 7.5 | 8 | 4 |
| Civey | 12 Oct 2018 | 28.5 | 18.2 | 24.9 | 11.8 | 5.6 | 7.5 | 3.5 |
| Civey | 28 Sep 2018 | 28.6 | 15.8 | 23 | 12.4 | 7.6 | 8.8 | 3.8 |
| Civey | 31 Aug 2018 | 31.1 | 13.4 | 23.9 | 12.7 | 7.1 | 7.9 | 3.9 |