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Pollster and election

Civey on the Hamburg state election

4 polls since 20 December 2019, the latest from 26 October 2022 for DIE ZEIT. Against the current average of all pollsters, Civey has Grüne +11.5 and Linke -8.0.

  • Grüne30.0%+5.5
  • SPD29.0%-6.4
  • CDU20.0%+6.2
  • Linke5.0%-3.6
  • AfD5.0%-2.9
  • FDP4.0%-1.2
  • Others7.0%+2.4

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Civey poll of 19 Feb 2020.

This poll in detail

Trend

All Civey figures for the Hamburg state election

010203040202020212022GrüneSPDCDULinkeAfDFDP
Dots are individual polls, lines the rolling average over 180 days. Period 20 Dec 2019 to 26 Oct 2022. Tap the tiles to hide parties.
Accuracy

Civey before the last elections

Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.

  • Election 23 Feb 2020 (poll 19 Feb 2020)1.7 ptsbiggest miss SPD -3.8
Archive

All 4 polls

Civey polls for the Hamburg state election
PollsterPublishedGrüneSPDCDULinkeAfDFDPOthers
Civey26 Oct 20223029205547
Civey19 Feb 202024.535.413.88.67.95.24.6
Civey21 Jan 202024.930.215.78.66.97.26.5
Civey20 Dec 201924.130.413.613.77.57.43.3

Other elections covered by this pollster

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

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