Pollster and election
Civey on the Saxony state election
17 polls since 16 April 2019, the latest from 6 January 2026 for Sächsische Zeitung / Leipziger Volkszeitung. Against the current average of all pollsters, Civey has CDU +8.0 and AfD -7.0. House effect since 21 May 2024: BSW -3.7, Linke +1.6, AfD +1.5.
- AfD35.0%±0
- CDU29.0%+2.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW8.0%-1.0
- SPD6.0%±0
- Grüne6.0%±0
- Freie Wähler2.0%±0
- FDP1.0%±0
- Others3.0%-1.0
35.0%
±0
AfD
29.0%
+2.0
CDU
10.0%
±0
Linke
8.0%
-1.0
BSW
6.0%
±0
SPD
6.0%
±0
Grüne
2.0%
±0
Freie Wähler
1.0%
±0
FDP
3.0%
-1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Civey poll of 4 Aug 2025.
Trend
All Civey figures for the Saxony state election
Accuracy
Civey before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 1 Sep 2019 (poll 28 Aug 2019)2.5 ptsbiggest miss Linke +4.6
Archive
All 17 polls
| Pollster | Published | AfD | CDU | Linke | BSW | SPD | Grüne | Freie Wähler | FDP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civey | 6 Jan 2026 | 35 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Civey | 4 Aug 2025 | 35 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Civey | 8 Jul 2025 | 34 | 29 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| Civey | 7 Apr 2025 | 34 | 32 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Civey | 7 Jan 2025 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| Civey | 3 Apr 2024 | 30 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Civey | 1 Jan 2024 | 37 | 33 | 8 | – | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| Civey | 4 Dec 2023 | 33 | 33 | 7 | – | 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
| Civey | 6 Aug 2023 | 30 | 34 | 10 | – | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Civey | 2 May 2023 | 26 | 34 | 10 | – | 8 | 9 | – | 4 | 9 |
| Civey | 6 Feb 2023 | 29 | 29 | 9 | – | 9 | 10 | – | 4 | 10 |
| Civey | 8 Apr 2021 | 29.6 | 27.3 | 9.6 | – | 7.3 | 12 | – | 6.9 | 7.3 |
| Civey | 28 Aug 2019 | 24.9 | 29 | 15 | – | 8.9 | 10.9 | – | 5.7 | 5.6 |
| Civey | 20 Aug 2019 | 25.2 | 28 | 15 | – | 8.5 | 11.4 | – | 5.5 | 6.4 |
| Civey | 25 Jul 2019 | 25.4 | 27.1 | 15 | – | 8.7 | 10.8 | – | 5.6 | 7.4 |
| Civey | 13 Jun 2019 | 23.5 | 29.7 | 16.6 | – | 10.3 | 10.6 | – | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| Civey | 16 Apr 2019 | 20.8 | 29.4 | 17.4 | – | 11.6 | 9.9 | – | 6.1 | 4.8 |