Forsa poll of 23 September 2026 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- Kölner Stadt-Anzeiger / Kölnische Rundschau
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 18 Sep 2026
- Respondents
- 1,030
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU29.0%-3.0
- AfD22.0%+2.0
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Linke8.0%+2.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others6.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Apr 2026.
In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,030 people were surveyed from 7 to 18 Sep 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Kölner Stadt-Anzeiger / Kölnische Rundschau.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Apr 2026, CDU loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 5.0 points higher and CDU 4.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +5.0average 17.0
- CDU -4.0average 33.0
- SPD -3.5average 17.5
- Grüne +3.0average 15.0
- FDP -1.5average 4.5
- Linke +0.5average 7.5
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU57
- AfD44
- Grüne36
- SPD28
- Linke16
- CDU + AfD101 of 181
- CDU + Grüne93 of 181
- AfD + Grüne + SPD108 of 181
- CDU + SPD + Linke101 of 181
- AfD + Grüne + Linke96 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.