Forsa poll of 22 April 2026 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- NRW-Tageszeitungen
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 14 Apr 2026
- Respondents
- 1,531
- Method
- Online
- CDU32.0%-6.0
- AfD20.0%+4.0
- Grüne17.0%+4.0
- SPD14.0%-3.0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others8.0%+4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Jul 2025.
In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,531 people were surveyed from 7 to 14 Apr 2026, method Online, commissioned by NRW-Tageszeitungen.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Jul 2025, CDU loses 6.0 points, AfD gains 4.0 points, Grüne gains 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 5.5 points lower and AfD 4.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Apr 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -5.5average 19.5
- AfD +4.5average 15.5
- Grüne +4.5average 12.5
- CDU -3.5average 35.5
- FDP -1.5average 4.5
- Linke -0.5average 6.5
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU65
- AfD41
- Grüne35
- SPD28
- Linke12
- CDU + AfD106 of 181
- CDU + Grüne100 of 181
- CDU + SPD93 of 181
- AfD + Grüne + SPD104 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.