Single poll
Forsa poll of 9 July 2025 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- State
- North Rhine-Westphalia
- Commissioned by
- NRW-Tageszeitungen
- Fieldwork period
- 25 Jun 2025 to 2 Jul 2025
- Respondents
- 1,507
- Method
- Online
In this poll Forsa has CDU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,507 people were surveyed from 25 Jun 2025 to 2 Jul 2025, method Online, commissioned by NRW-Tageszeitungen.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Dec 2024, Linke gains 5.0 points, CDU loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.0 points higher and Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jul 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.0average 14.0
- Grüne -2.0average 15.0
- CDU -1.0average 39.0
- SPD +1.0average 16.0
- BSW -1.0average 3.0
- Linke ±0average 7.0
- FDP ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU75
- SPD34
- AfD32
- Grüne26
- Linke14
- CDU + SPD109 of 181
- CDU + AfD107 of 181
- CDU + Grüne101 of 181
- SPD + AfD + Grüne92 of 181
More
More polls
← Forsa, 12 Dec 2024Forsa, 22 Apr 2026 →Average of all pollsters: North Rhine-WestphaliaSunday question North Rhine-Westphalia2025 federal election in North Rhine-WestphaliaChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.