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Pollster and election

Civey on the Thuringia state election

5 polls since 29 August 2018, the latest from 23 October 2019 for DER SPIEGEL. Against the current average of all pollsters, Civey has AfD -16.8 and Linke +14.2.

  • Linke30.2%+4.9
  • AfD23.2%+0.9
  • CDU22.9%-1.3
  • SPD8.2%-0.2
  • Grüne7.4%-1.8
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others3.1%-2.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Civey poll of 26 Sep 2019.

This poll in detail

Trend

All Civey figures for the Thuringia state election

0102030Sep 18Oct 18Nov 18Dec 18Jan 19Feb 19Mar 19Apr 19May 19Jun 19Jul 19Aug 19Sep 19Oct 19LinkeAfDCDUSPDGrüneFDP
Dots are individual polls, lines the rolling average over 120 days. Period 29 Aug 2018 to 23 Oct 2019. Tap the tiles to hide parties.
Accuracy

Civey before the last elections

Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.

  • Election 27 Oct 2019 (poll 23 Oct 2019)0.7 ptsbiggest miss Grüne +2.2
Archive

All 5 polls

Civey polls for the Thuringia state election
PollsterPublishedLinkeAfDCDUSPDGrüneFDPOthers
Civey23 Oct 201930.223.222.98.27.453.1
Civey26 Sep 201925.322.324.28.49.255.6
Civey13 Jun 201920.822.526.59.610.15.25.3
Civey16 Apr 201924.319.528.6117.34.94.4
Civey29 Aug 201824.122.329.910.43.75.73.9

Other elections covered by this pollster

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

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