Civey poll of 23 October 2019 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 25 Sep 2019 to 23 Oct 2019
- Respondents
- 3,029
- Method
- Online
- Linke30.2%+4.9
- AfD23.2%+0.9
- CDU22.9%-1.3
- SPD8.2%-0.2
- Grüne7.4%-1.8
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others3.1%-2.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 26 Sep 2019.
In this poll Civey has Linke ahead on 30.2%, followed by AfD on 23.2%. 3,029 people were surveyed from 25 Sep 2019 to 23 Oct 2019, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 26 Sep 2019, Linke gains 4.9 points, Grüne loses 1.8 points, CDU loses 1.3 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Linke 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +2.2average 28.0
- Grüne -0.9average 8.3
- CDU -0.8average 23.7
- FDP +0.3average 4.7
- AfD +0.2average 23.0
- SPD -0.1average 8.3
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- Linke27
- AfD21
- CDU21
- SPD7
- Grüne7
- FDP5
- Linke + AfD48 of 88
- Linke + CDU48 of 88
- AfD + CDU + SPD49 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne49 of 88
- AfD + CDU + FDP47 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.