Single poll

Civey poll of 26 September 2019 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
2 to 26 Sep 2019
Respondents
3,035
Method
Online
  • Linke25.3%+4.5
  • CDU24.2%-2.3
  • AfD22.3%-0.2
  • Grüne9.2%-0.9
  • SPD8.4%-1.2
  • FDP5.0%-0.2
  • Others5.6%+0.3

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Jun 2019.

In this poll Civey has Linke ahead on 25.3%, followed by CDU on 24.2%. 3,035 people were surveyed from 2 to 26 Sep 2019, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Jun 2019, Linke gains 4.5 points, CDU loses 2.3 points, SPD loses 1.2 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Linke 3.2 points lower and AfD 2.2 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -3.2average 28.5
  • AfD -2.2average 24.5
  • CDU +1.7average 22.5
  • Grüne +0.7average 8.5
  • FDP +0.5average 4.5
  • SPD +0.4average 8.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 24 seatsCDU: 22 seatsAfD: 21 seatsSPD: 8 seatsGrüne: 8 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke24
  • CDU22
  • AfD21
  • SPD8
  • Grüne8
  • FDP5
  • Linke + CDU46 of 88
  • Linke + AfD45 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + SPD51 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne51 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + FDP48 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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