Single poll

Civey poll of 13 June 2019 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
15 May 2019 to 12 Jun 2019
Respondents
2,981
Method
Online
  • CDU26.5%-2.1
  • AfD22.5%+3.0
  • Linke20.8%-3.5
  • Grüne10.1%+2.8
  • SPD9.6%-1.4
  • FDP5.2%+0.3
  • Others5.3%+0.9

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 Apr 2019.

In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 26.5%, followed by AfD on 22.5%. 2,981 people were surveyed from 15 May 2019 to 12 Jun 2019, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 Apr 2019, Linke loses 3.5 points, AfD gains 3.0 points, Grüne gains 2.8 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Linke 3.7 points lower and AfD 2.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -3.7average 24.5
  • AfD +2.5average 20.0
  • Grüne +2.1average 8.0
  • SPD -1.4average 11.0
  • CDU -0.5average 27.0
  • FDP +0.2average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 25 seatsAfD: 21 seatsLinke: 19 seatsSPD: 9 seatsGrüne: 9 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • CDU25
  • AfD21
  • Linke19
  • SPD9
  • Grüne9
  • FDP5
  • CDU + AfD46 of 88
  • CDU + Linke + SPD53 of 88
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne53 of 88
  • CDU + Linke + FDP49 of 88
  • AfD + Linke + SPD49 of 88
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne49 of 88
  • AfD + Linke + FDP45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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