Single poll

Civey poll of 16 April 2019 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
19 Mar 2019 to 16 Apr 2019
Respondents
1,320
Method
Online
  • CDU28.6%-1.3
  • Linke24.3%+0.2
  • AfD19.5%-2.8
  • SPD11.0%+0.6
  • Grüne7.3%+3.6
  • FDP4.9%-0.8
  • Others4.4%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 29 Aug 2018.

In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 28.6%, followed by Linke on 24.3%. 1,320 people were surveyed from 19 Mar 2019 to 16 Apr 2019, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 29 Aug 2018, Grüne gains 3.6 points, AfD loses 2.8 points, CDU loses 1.3 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +1.6average 27.0
  • SPD +1.0average 10.0
  • Grüne -0.7average 8.0
  • AfD -0.5average 20.0
  • Linke +0.3average 24.0
  • FDP -0.1average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 28 seatsLinke: 23 seatsAfD: 19 seatsSPD: 11 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • CDU28
  • Linke23
  • AfD19
  • SPD11
  • Grüne7
  • CDU + Linke51 of 88
  • CDU + AfD47 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + SPD53 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + Grüne49 of 88
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne46 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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