Single poll

Civey poll of 29 August 2018 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
Thüringer Allgemeine
Fieldwork period
24 Jul 2018 to 28 Aug 2018
Respondents
2,500
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU29.9%
  • Linke24.1%
  • AfD22.3%
  • SPD10.4%
  • FDP5.7%
  • Grüne3.7%
  • Others3.9%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 29.9%, followed by Linke on 24.1%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 24 Jul 2018 to 28 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Thüringer Allgemeine.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 2.3 points lower and AfD 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.3average 6.0
  • AfD +1.8average 20.5
  • FDP +0.7average 5.0
  • CDU -0.6average 30.5
  • SPD +0.4average 10.0
  • Linke +0.1average 24.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 29 seatsLinke: 23 seatsAfD: 21 seatsSPD: 10 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • CDU29
  • Linke23
  • AfD21
  • SPD10
  • FDP5
  • CDU + Linke52 of 88
  • CDU + AfD50 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + SPD54 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + FDP49 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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