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Pollster and election

Civey on the Berlin state election

31 polls since 10 April 2017, the latest from 17 September 2026 for Der Tagesspiegel. Against the current average of all pollsters, Civey has Linke -0.4 and CDU +0.4. House effect since 18 Sep 2024: Grüne -0.3, CDU +0.3, Linke +0.2.

  • Linke21.0%+2.0
  • CDU20.0%±0
  • AfD18.0%±0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • SPD12.0%-1.0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • FDP2.5%-0.5
  • Others6.5%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Civey poll of 14 Sep 2026.

This poll in detail

Trend

All Civey figures for the Berlin state election

0510152025302023202420252026LinkeCDUAfDGrüneSPDBSWFDP
Dots are individual polls, lines the rolling average over 120 days. Period 10 Dec 2022 to 17 Sep 2026. Tap the tiles to hide parties.
Accuracy

Civey before the last elections

Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.

  • Election 20 Sep 2026 (poll 17 Sep 2026)1.4 ptsbiggest miss Linke -4.7
  • Election 12 Feb 2023 (poll 9 Feb 2023)2.2 ptsbiggest miss CDU -4.2
  • Election 26 Sep 2021 (poll 24 Sep 2021)1.6 ptsbiggest miss SPD +2.6
Archive

All 31 polls

Civey polls for the Berlin state election
PollsterPublishedLinkeCDUAfDGrüneSPDBSWFDPOthers
Civey17 Sep 2026212018161242.56.5
Civey14 Sep 20261920181613437
Civey31 Aug 20262019181513447
Civey5 Aug 20262119181712337
Civey13 Jul 20261919171713348
Civey15 Jun 20261522181714347
Civey7 May 20261620171616348
Civey30 Mar 20261623161516437
Civey2 Mar 20261723161516337
Civey26 Jan 20261722161715337
Civey2 Dec 20251823161513537
Civey17 Sep 20251625161513726
Civey24 Apr 20251324161615736
Civey9 Feb 2023112491722–710
Civey26 Jan 20231223111919–79
Civey12 Jan 20231222121818–711
Civey10 Dec 2022132582118–510
Civey24 Sep 2021121681824–913
Civey10 Sep 2021161691525–712
Civey8 Aug 202114.616.711.620.420.4–7.68.7
Civey10 Dec 201818.717.211.124.714.6–6.37.4
Civey14 Sep 201818.218.912.617.917.6–6.97.9
Civey15 May 201818.620.411.917.416.7–7.97.1
Civey5 Apr 20181821.611.21618.7–6.87.7
Civey8 Dec 201719.321.910.11516.8–8.68.3
Civey27 Nov 201718.321.310.715.216.8–8.98.8
Civey10 Oct 201719.222.18.814.218.5–8.58.7
Civey26 Jul 201717.724.57.710.920.5–8.710
Civey17 Jun 201717.222.68.910.221.4–7.212.5
Civey19 May 201716.120.38.511.427.1–7.19.5
Civey10 Apr 201716.119.61013.624.9–7.78.1

Other elections covered by this pollster

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

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