Civey poll of 10 December 2018 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Oct 2018 to 7 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 4,000
- Method
- Online
- Grüne24.7%+6.8
- Linke18.7%+0.5
- CDU17.2%-1.7
- SPD14.6%-3.0
- AfD11.1%-1.5
- FDP6.3%-0.6
- Others7.4%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Sep 2018.
In this poll Civey has Grüne ahead on 24.7%, followed by Linke on 18.7%. 4,000 people were surveyed from 30 Oct 2018 to 7 Dec 2018, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Sep 2018, Grüne gains 6.8 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU loses 1.7 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 2.6 points lower and Grüne 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.6average 13.7
- Grüne +1.7average 23.0
- Linke +1.0average 17.7
- SPD -0.7average 15.3
- FDP -0.4average 6.7
- CDU -0.1average 17.3
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne35
- Linke26
- CDU24
- SPD20
- AfD16
- FDP9
- Grüne + Linke + CDU85 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + SPD81 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + SPD79 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD77 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD75 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD71 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + FDP70 of 130
- Linke + CDU + SPD70 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + FDP68 of 130
- Linke + CDU + AfD66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.