Civey poll of 14 September 2018 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 5 Aug 2018 to 14 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 5,378
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU18.9%-1.5
- Linke18.2%-0.4
- Grüne17.9%+0.5
- SPD17.6%+0.9
- AfD12.6%+0.7
- FDP6.9%-1.0
- Others7.9%+0.8
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 15 May 2018.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 18.9%, followed by Linke on 18.2%. 5,378 people were surveyed from 5 Aug 2018 to 14 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 15 May 2018, CDU loses 1.5 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Linke 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.8average 20.0
- Grüne +0.9average 17.0
- FDP +0.6average 6.3
- CDU -0.4average 19.3
- SPD +0.3average 17.3
- AfD +0.3average 12.3
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Linke26
- CDU26
- SPD25
- Grüne25
- AfD18
- FDP10
- Linke + CDU + SPD77 of 130
- Linke + CDU + Grüne77 of 130
- Linke + SPD + Grüne76 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Grüne76 of 130
- Linke + CDU + AfD70 of 130
- Linke + SPD + AfD69 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + AfD69 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD69 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD69 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD68 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.