Civey poll of 15 May 2018 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Mar 2018 to 15 May 2018
- Respondents
- 5,014
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU20.4%-1.2
- Linke18.6%+0.6
- Grüne17.4%+1.4
- SPD16.7%-2.0
- AfD11.9%+0.7
- FDP7.9%+1.1
- Others7.1%-0.6
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 5 Apr 2018.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 20.4%, followed by Linke on 18.6%. 5,014 people were surveyed from 27 Mar 2018 to 15 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 5 Apr 2018, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.4 points, CDU loses 1.2 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has SPD 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.3average 19.0
- CDU +1.4average 19.0
- Linke -0.4average 19.0
- FDP +0.4average 7.5
- Grüne -0.1average 17.5
- AfD -0.1average 12.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU29
- Linke26
- Grüne24
- SPD23
- AfD17
- FDP11
- CDU + Linke + Grüne79 of 130
- CDU + Linke + SPD78 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + SPD76 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + SPD73 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD72 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD70 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD69 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + AfD67 of 130
- CDU + Linke + FDP66 of 130
- Linke + SPD + AfD66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.