Single poll

Civey poll of 5 April 2018 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Der Tagesspiegel
Fieldwork period
28 Feb 2018 to 5 Apr 2018
Respondents
5,971
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU21.6%-0.3
  • SPD18.7%+1.9
  • Linke18.0%-1.3
  • Grüne16.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.2%+1.1
  • FDP6.8%-1.8
  • Others7.7%-0.6

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 8 Dec 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 21.6%, followed by SPD on 18.7%. 5,971 people were surveyed from 28 Feb 2018 to 5 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 8 Dec 2017, SPD gains 1.9 points, FDP loses 1.8 points, Linke loses 1.3 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +1.6average 20.0
  • SPD -1.3average 20.0
  • Grüne -1.0average 17.0
  • AfD -0.8average 12.0
  • FDP -0.2average 7.0
  • Linke ±0average 18.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

CDU: 30 seatsSPD: 26 seatsLinke: 25 seatsGrüne: 23 seatsAfD: 16 seatsFDP: 10 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • CDU30
  • SPD26
  • Linke25
  • Grüne23
  • AfD16
  • FDP10
  • CDU + SPD + Linke81 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne79 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne78 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne74 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + AfD72 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + AfD71 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD69 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + AfD67 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + FDP66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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