Single poll

Civey poll of 8 December 2017 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Der Tagesspiegel
Fieldwork period
20 Nov 2017 to 7 Dec 2017
Respondents
5,021
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU21.9%+0.6
  • Linke19.3%+1.0
  • SPD16.8%±0
  • Grüne15.0%-0.2
  • AfD10.1%-0.6
  • FDP8.6%-0.3
  • Others8.3%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 27 Nov 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 21.9%, followed by Linke on 19.3%. 5,021 people were surveyed from 20 Nov 2017 to 7 Dec 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 27 Nov 2017, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has SPD 2.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.7average 19.5
  • FDP +1.1average 7.5
  • Linke +0.8average 18.5
  • AfD -0.4average 10.5
  • CDU -0.1average 22.0
  • Grüne ±0average 15.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

CDU: 31 seatsLinke: 28 seatsSPD: 24 seatsGrüne: 21 seatsAfD: 14 seatsFDP: 12 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • CDU31
  • Linke28
  • SPD24
  • Grüne21
  • AfD14
  • FDP12
  • CDU + Linke + SPD83 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne80 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne76 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + AfD73 of 130
  • Linke + SPD + Grüne73 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + FDP71 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + AfD69 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + FDP67 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD66 of 130
  • Linke + SPD + AfD66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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