Civey poll of 8 August 2021 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jul 2021 to 7 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 2,017
- Method
- Online
- SPD20.4%+5.8
- Grüne20.4%-4.3
- CDU16.7%-0.5
- Linke14.6%-4.1
- AfD11.6%+0.5
- FDP7.6%+1.3
- Others8.7%+1.3
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 10 Dec 2018.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 20.4%, followed by Grüne on 20.4%. 2,017 people were surveyed from 31 Jul 2021 to 7 Aug 2021, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 10 Dec 2018, SPD gains 5.8 points, Grüne loses 4.3 points, Linke loses 4.1 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU 2.3 points lower and FDP 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.3average 19.0
- FDP -1.7average 9.3
- Linke +1.3average 13.3
- AfD +1.3average 10.3
- SPD +0.7average 19.7
- Grüne +0.6average 19.8
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD29
- Grüne29
- CDU24
- Linke21
- AfD16
- FDP11
- SPD + Grüne + CDU82 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke79 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD74 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke74 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + Linke74 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + FDP69 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD69 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD69 of 130
- SPD + Linke + AfD66 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.