Civey poll of 26 January 2023 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 26 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 2,001
- Method
- Online
- CDU23.0%+1.0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- Linke12.0%±0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others9.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 12 Jan 2023.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 23.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 2,001 people were surveyed from 19 to 26 Jan 2023, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 12 Jan 2023, CDU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has FDP 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.7average 5.3
- Grüne -1.3average 20.3
- CDU +0.8average 22.2
- SPD -0.5average 19.5
- AfD +0.3average 10.7
- Linke +0.2average 11.8
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU33
- SPD27
- Grüne27
- Linke17
- AfD16
- FDP10
- CDU + SPD + Grüne87 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke77 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke77 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD76 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD76 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke71 of 130
- CDU + SPD + FDP70 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + FDP70 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD70 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.