Single poll

Civey poll of 9 February 2023 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Spiegel Online / Der Tagesspiegel
Fieldwork period
2 to 9 Feb 2023
Respondents
2,002
Method
Online
  • CDU24.0%+1.0
  • SPD22.0%+3.0
  • Grüne17.0%-2.0
  • Linke11.0%-1.0
  • AfD9.0%-2.0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Others10.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 26 Jan 2023.

In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 24.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 2 to 9 Feb 2023, method Online, commissioned by Spiegel Online / Der Tagesspiegel.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 26 Jan 2023, SPD gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has SPD 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +3.0average 19.0
  • AfD -1.3average 10.3
  • FDP +1.3average 5.7
  • Grüne -1.2average 18.2
  • Linke -0.9average 11.9
  • CDU -0.4average 24.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

CDU: 35 seatsSPD: 32 seatsGrüne: 24 seatsLinke: 16 seatsAfD: 13 seatsFDP: 10 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • CDU35
  • SPD32
  • Grüne24
  • Linke16
  • AfD13
  • FDP10
  • CDU + SPD67 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke75 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD72 of 130
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke72 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP69 of 130
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD69 of 130
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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