Single poll

Civey poll of 24 April 2025 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Der Tagesspiegel
Fieldwork period
8 to 22 Apr 2025
Respondents
3,003
Method
Online
  • CDU24.0%±0
  • Grüne16.0%-1.0
  • AfD16.0%+7.0
  • SPD15.0%-7.0
  • Linke13.0%+2.0
  • BSW7.0%
  • FDP3.0%-4.0
  • Others6.0%-4.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 9 Feb 2023.

In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 24.0%, followed by Grüne on 16.0%. 3,003 people were surveyed from 8 to 22 Apr 2025, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 9 Feb 2023, AfD gains 7.0 points, SPD loses 7.0 points, FDP loses 4.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Linke 7.0 points higher and Grüne 4.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +7.0average 6.0
  • Grüne -4.0average 20.0
  • CDU -3.0average 27.0
  • SPD +3.0average 12.0
  • AfD +1.0average 15.0
  • FDP -1.0average 4.0
  • BSW ±0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

CDU: 34 seatsGrüne: 23 seatsAfD: 23 seatsSPD: 21 seatsLinke: 19 seatsBSW: 10 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • CDU34
  • Grüne23
  • AfD23
  • SPD21
  • Linke19
  • BSW10
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD80 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + SPD78 of 130
  • CDU + AfD + SPD78 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke76 of 130
  • CDU + AfD + Linke76 of 130
  • CDU + SPD + Linke74 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + BSW67 of 130
  • CDU + AfD + BSW67 of 130
  • Grüne + AfD + SPD67 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.