Civey poll of 17 September 2025 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 16 Sep 2025
- Respondents
- 3,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU25.0%+1.0
- Linke16.0%+3.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- SPD13.0%-2.0
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP2.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 24 Apr 2025.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Linke on 16.0%. 3,000 people were surveyed from 2 to 16 Sep 2025, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 24 Apr 2025, Linke gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 3.0 points higher and SPD 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +3.0average 13.0
- SPD -2.5average 15.5
- BSW +1.5average 5.5
- FDP -1.0average 3.0
- CDU +0.5average 24.5
- Linke ±0average 16.0
- Grüne ±0average 15.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU35
- Linke23
- AfD23
- Grüne21
- SPD18
- BSW10
- CDU + Linke + AfD81 of 130
- CDU + Linke + Grüne79 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Grüne79 of 130
- CDU + Linke + SPD76 of 130
- CDU + AfD + SPD76 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + SPD74 of 130
- CDU + Linke + BSW68 of 130
- CDU + AfD + BSW68 of 130
- Linke + AfD + Grüne67 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + BSW66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.