Civey poll of 2 December 2025 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 26 Nov 2025
- Respondents
- 2,969
- Method
- Online
- CDU23.0%-2.0
- Linke18.0%+2.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- SPD13.0%±0
- BSW5.0%-2.0
- FDP3.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 17 Sep 2025.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 23.0%, followed by Linke on 18.0%. 2,969 people were surveyed from 12 to 26 Nov 2025, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 17 Sep 2025, CDU loses 2.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points, BSW loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has SPD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Dec 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.5average 14.5
- FDP -1.0average 4.0
- CDU +0.5average 22.5
- AfD +0.5average 15.5
- BSW +0.5average 4.5
- Linke ±0average 18.0
- Grüne ±0average 15.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU33
- Linke26
- AfD23
- Grüne22
- SPD19
- BSW7
- CDU + Linke + AfD82 of 130
- CDU + Linke + Grüne81 of 130
- CDU + Linke + SPD78 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Grüne78 of 130
- CDU + AfD + SPD75 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + SPD74 of 130
- Linke + AfD + Grüne71 of 130
- Linke + AfD + SPD68 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + SPD67 of 130
- CDU + Linke + BSW66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.