Civey poll of 26 January 2026 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 23 Jan 2026
- Respondents
- 3,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU22.0%-1.0
- Grüne17.0%+2.0
- Linke17.0%-1.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+2.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- BSW3.0%-2.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 2 Dec 2025.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 22.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 3,000 people were surveyed from 9 to 23 Jan 2026, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 2 Dec 2025, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, BSW loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jan 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.0average 15.0
- Linke -0.5average 17.5
- AfD -0.5average 16.5
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- BSW -0.5average 3.5
- CDU ±0average 22.0
- FDP ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU33
- Grüne25
- Linke25
- AfD24
- SPD23
- CDU + Grüne + Linke83 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD82 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD82 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + SPD81 of 130
- CDU + Linke + SPD81 of 130
- CDU + AfD + SPD80 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD74 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + SPD73 of 130
- Grüne + AfD + SPD72 of 130
- Linke + AfD + SPD72 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.