Civey poll of 2 March 2026 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 27 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 3,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU23.0%+1.0
- Linke17.0%±0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%-2.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 26 Jan 2026.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 23.0%, followed by Linke on 17.0%. 3,000 people were surveyed from 13 to 27 Feb 2026, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 26 Jan 2026, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +1.0average 22.0
- SPD +1.0average 15.0
- AfD -1.0average 17.0
- FDP -1.0average 4.0
- Linke +0.5average 16.5
- Grüne -0.5average 15.5
- BSW -0.5average 3.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU34
- Linke25
- SPD24
- AfD24
- Grüne23
- CDU + Linke + SPD83 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD83 of 130
- CDU + Linke + Grüne82 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD82 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Grüne81 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Grüne81 of 130
- Linke + SPD + AfD73 of 130
- Linke + SPD + Grüne72 of 130
- Linke + AfD + Grüne72 of 130
- SPD + AfD + Grüne71 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.