Civey poll of 12 January 2023 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 12 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- CDU22.0%-3.0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%-3.0
- Linke12.0%-1.0
- AfD12.0%+4.0
- FDP7.0%+2.0
- Others11.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 10 Dec 2022.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 22.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 5 to 12 Jan 2023, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 10 Dec 2022, AfD gains 4.0 points, CDU loses 3.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 2.7 points lower and FDP 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.7average 20.7
- FDP +2.0average 5.0
- SPD -1.8average 19.8
- AfD +1.7average 10.3
- CDU +0.5average 21.5
- Linke +0.2average 11.8
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU32
- SPD26
- Grüne26
- Linke18
- AfD18
- FDP10
- CDU + SPD + Grüne84 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke76 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD76 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke76 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD76 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke70 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD70 of 130
- CDU + SPD + FDP68 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + FDP68 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD68 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.