Civey poll of 10 December 2022 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 9 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 2,001
- Method
- Online
- CDU25.0%+9.0
- Grüne21.0%+3.0
- SPD18.0%-6.0
- Linke13.0%+1.0
- AfD8.0%±0
- FDP5.0%-4.0
- Others10.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 24 Sep 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 2,001 people were surveyed from 2 to 9 Dec 2022, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 24 Sep 2021, CDU gains 9.0 points, SPD loses 6.0 points, FDP loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU 4.8 points higher and AfD 2.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +4.8average 20.2
- AfD -2.7average 10.7
- SPD -1.2average 19.2
- FDP -1.2average 6.2
- Grüne +0.8average 20.2
- Linke +0.5average 12.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU36
- Grüne30
- SPD26
- Linke19
- AfD12
- FDP7
- CDU + Grüne66 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke81 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + Linke75 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD74 of 130
- CDU + SPD + FDP69 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD68 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD67 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.