Single poll

Civey poll of 24 September 2021 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Der Tagesspiegel
Fieldwork period
16 to 23 Sep 2021
Respondents
2,005
Method
Online
  • SPD24.0%-1.0
  • Grüne18.0%+3.0
  • CDU16.0%±0
  • Linke12.0%-4.0
  • FDP9.0%+2.0
  • AfD8.0%-1.0
  • Others13.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 10 Sep 2021.

In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 24.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,005 people were surveyed from 16 to 23 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 10 Sep 2021, Linke loses 4.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 2.2 points lower and Linke 1.9 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -2.2average 10.2
  • Linke -1.9average 13.9
  • FDP +1.5average 7.5
  • SPD +1.2average 22.8
  • CDU -0.3average 16.3
  • Grüne -0.2average 18.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

SPD: 36 seatsGrüne: 27 seatsCDU: 24 seatsLinke: 18 seatsFDP: 13 seatsAfD: 12 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • SPD36
  • Grüne27
  • CDU24
  • Linke18
  • FDP13
  • AfD12
  • SPD + Grüne + CDU87 of 130
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke81 of 130
  • SPD + CDU + Linke78 of 130
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP76 of 130
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD75 of 130
  • SPD + CDU + FDP73 of 130
  • SPD + CDU + AfD72 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + Linke69 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + FDP67 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + AfD66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.