Civey poll of 10 October 2017 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 20 Sep 2017 to 10 Oct 2017
- Respondents
- 5,031
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU22.1%-2.4
- Linke19.2%+1.5
- SPD18.5%-2.0
- Grüne14.2%+3.3
- AfD8.8%+1.1
- FDP8.5%-0.2
- Others8.7%-1.3
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 26 Jul 2017.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 22.1%, followed by Linke on 19.2%. 5,031 people were surveyed from 20 Sep 2017 to 10 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 26 Jul 2017, Grüne gains 3.3 points, CDU loses 2.4 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.7average 10.5
- CDU +1.1average 21.0
- SPD -1.0average 19.5
- FDP +0.5average 8.0
- Grüne -0.3average 14.5
- Linke +0.2average 19.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU32
- Linke27
- SPD26
- Grüne20
- AfD13
- FDP12
- CDU + Linke + SPD85 of 130
- CDU + Linke + Grüne79 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Grüne78 of 130
- Linke + SPD + Grüne73 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD72 of 130
- CDU + Linke + FDP71 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD71 of 130
- CDU + SPD + FDP70 of 130
- Linke + SPD + AfD66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.