Civey poll of 26 July 2017 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Jun 2017 to 26 Jul 2017
- Respondents
- 5,076
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU24.5%+1.9
- SPD20.5%-0.9
- Linke17.7%+0.5
- Grüne10.9%+0.7
- FDP8.7%+1.5
- AfD7.7%-1.2
- Others10.0%-2.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 17 Jun 2017.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 24.5%, followed by SPD on 20.5%. 5,076 people were surveyed from 27 Jun 2017 to 26 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 17 Jun 2017, CDU gains 1.9 points, FDP gains 1.5 points, AfD loses 1.2 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 2.6 points lower and CDU 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.6average 13.5
- CDU +1.5average 23.0
- AfD -1.3average 9.0
- SPD -1.0average 21.5
- Linke +0.7average 17.0
- FDP +0.2average 8.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU35
- SPD30
- Linke25
- Grüne16
- FDP13
- AfD11
- CDU + SPD + Linke90 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Grüne81 of 130
- CDU + SPD + FDP78 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD76 of 130
- CDU + Linke + Grüne76 of 130
- CDU + Linke + FDP73 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD71 of 130
- SPD + Linke + Grüne71 of 130
- SPD + Linke + FDP68 of 130
- SPD + Linke + AfD66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.