Single poll

Civey poll of 17 June 2017 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Der Tagesspiegel
Fieldwork period
30 May 2017 to 17 Jun 2017
Respondents
4,542
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU22.6%+2.3
  • SPD21.4%-5.7
  • Linke17.2%+1.1
  • Grüne10.2%-1.2
  • AfD8.9%+0.4
  • FDP7.2%+0.1
  • Others12.5%+3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 19 May 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 22.6%, followed by SPD on 21.4%. 4,542 people were surveyed from 30 May 2017 to 17 Jun 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 19 May 2017, SPD loses 5.7 points, CDU gains 2.3 points, Grüne loses 1.2 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 2.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.8average 13.0
  • CDU -0.9average 23.5
  • FDP -0.8average 8.0
  • Linke +0.7average 16.5
  • SPD -0.6average 22.0
  • AfD -0.1average 9.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

CDU: 34 seatsSPD: 32 seatsLinke: 25 seatsGrüne: 15 seatsAfD: 13 seatsFDP: 11 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • CDU34
  • SPD32
  • Linke25
  • Grüne15
  • AfD13
  • FDP11
  • CDU + SPD66 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne74 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + AfD72 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne72 of 130
  • CDU + Linke + FDP70 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + AfD70 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + FDP68 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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