Civey poll of 19 May 2017 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 19 May 2017
- Respondents
- 3,500
- Method
- Unbekannt
- SPD27.1%+2.2
- CDU20.3%+0.7
- Linke16.1%±0
- Grüne11.4%-2.2
- AfD8.5%-1.5
- FDP7.1%-0.6
- Others9.5%+1.4
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 10 Apr 2017.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 27.1%, followed by CDU on 20.3%. 3,500 people were surveyed from 3 to 19 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 10 Apr 2017, SPD gains 2.2 points, Grüne loses 2.2 points, AfD loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has SPD 3.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.1average 24.0
- FDP -0.9average 8.0
- Grüne -0.6average 12.0
- AfD -0.5average 9.0
- CDU +0.3average 20.0
- Linke +0.1average 16.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD39
- CDU29
- Linke23
- Grüne17
- AfD12
- FDP10
- SPD + CDU68 of 130
- SPD + Linke + Grüne79 of 130
- SPD + Linke + AfD74 of 130
- SPD + Linke + FDP72 of 130
- CDU + Linke + Grüne69 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD68 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + FDP66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.