Civey poll of 15 June 2026 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 28 May 2026 to 11 Jun 2026
- Respondents
- 3,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU22.0%+2.0
- AfD18.0%+1.0
- Grüne17.0%+1.0
- Linke15.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%-2.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 7 May 2026.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 22.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 3,000 people were surveyed from 28 May 2026 to 11 Jun 2026, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 7 May 2026, CDU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU 2.5 points higher and Linke 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +2.5average 19.5
- Linke -1.5average 16.5
- SPD -1.0average 15.0
- Grüne +0.5average 16.5
- FDP +0.5average 3.5
- BSW -0.5average 3.5
- AfD ±0average 18.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU33
- AfD27
- Grüne26
- Linke23
- SPD21
- CDU + AfD + Grüne86 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Linke83 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke82 of 130
- CDU + AfD + SPD81 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + SPD80 of 130
- CDU + Linke + SPD77 of 130
- AfD + Grüne + Linke76 of 130
- AfD + Grüne + SPD74 of 130
- AfD + Linke + SPD71 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + SPD70 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.