Civey poll of 13 July 2026 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 25 Jun 2026 to 9 Jul 2026
- Respondents
- 3,000
- Method
- Online
- Linke19.0%+4.0
- CDU19.0%-3.0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD17.0%-1.0
- SPD13.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 15 Jun 2026.
In this poll Civey has Linke ahead on 19.0%, followed by CDU on 19.0%. 3,000 people were surveyed from 25 Jun 2026 to 9 Jul 2026, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 15 Jun 2026, Linke gains 4.0 points, CDU loses 3.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Linke 1.5 points higher and SPD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jul 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.5average 17.5
- SPD -1.5average 14.5
- AfD -1.0average 18.0
- CDU +0.5average 18.5
- FDP +0.5average 3.5
- BSW -0.5average 3.5
- Grüne ±0average 17.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Linke29
- CDU29
- Grüne26
- AfD26
- SPD20
- Linke + CDU + Grüne84 of 130
- Linke + CDU + AfD84 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + AfD81 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD81 of 130
- Linke + CDU + SPD78 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + SPD75 of 130
- Linke + AfD + SPD75 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + SPD75 of 130
- CDU + AfD + SPD75 of 130
- Grüne + AfD + SPD72 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.