Single poll

Civey poll of 5 August 2026 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Der Tagesspiegel
Fieldwork period
20 Jul 2026 to 3 Aug 2026
Respondents
3,000
Method
Online
  • Linke21.0%+2.0
  • CDU19.0%±0
  • AfD18.0%+1.0
  • Grüne17.0%±0
  • SPD12.0%-1.0
  • FDP3.0%-1.0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Jul 2026.

In this poll Civey has Linke ahead on 21.0%, followed by CDU on 19.0%. 3,000 people were surveyed from 20 Jul 2026 to 3 Aug 2026, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Jul 2026, Linke gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +1.0average 20.0
  • AfD +0.5average 17.5
  • Grüne +0.5average 16.5
  • SPD -0.5average 12.5
  • FDP -0.5average 3.5
  • BSW -0.5average 3.5
  • CDU ±0average 19.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Linke: 31 seatsCDU: 28 seatsAfD: 27 seatsGrüne: 26 seatsSPD: 18 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Linke31
  • CDU28
  • AfD27
  • Grüne26
  • SPD18
  • Linke + CDU + AfD86 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + Grüne85 of 130
  • Linke + AfD + Grüne84 of 130
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne81 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + SPD77 of 130
  • Linke + AfD + SPD76 of 130
  • Linke + Grüne + SPD75 of 130
  • CDU + AfD + SPD73 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + SPD72 of 130
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD71 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.