Civey poll of 31 August 2026 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 27 Aug 2026
- Respondents
- 3,000
- Method
- Online
- Linke20.0%-1.0
- CDU19.0%±0
- AfD18.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%-2.0
- SPD13.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 5 Aug 2026.
In this poll Civey has Linke ahead on 20.0%, followed by CDU on 19.0%. 3,000 people were surveyed from 13 to 27 Aug 2026, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 5 Aug 2026, Grüne loses 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 16.3
- Linke -1.0average 21.0
- AfD +1.0average 17.0
- FDP +1.0average 3.0
- BSW +0.7average 3.3
- CDU -0.3average 19.3
- SPD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Linke31
- CDU29
- AfD27
- Grüne23
- SPD20
- Linke + CDU + AfD87 of 130
- Linke + CDU + Grüne83 of 130
- Linke + AfD + Grüne81 of 130
- Linke + CDU + SPD80 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Grüne79 of 130
- Linke + AfD + SPD78 of 130
- CDU + AfD + SPD76 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + SPD74 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + SPD72 of 130
- AfD + Grüne + SPD70 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.