Civey poll of 14 September 2026 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Aug 2026 to 10 Sep 2026
- Respondents
- 3,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU20.0%+1.0
- Linke19.0%-1.0
- AfD18.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- SPD13.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 31 Aug 2026.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 20.0%, followed by Linke on 19.0%. 3,000 people were surveyed from 27 Aug 2026 to 10 Sep 2026, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 31 Aug 2026, CDU gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Linke 2.5 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -2.5average 21.5
- SPD +1.5average 11.5
- CDU +0.2average 19.8
- AfD +0.2average 17.8
- Grüne ±0average 16.0
- BSW ±0average 4.0
- FDP ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU30
- Linke29
- AfD27
- Grüne24
- SPD20
- CDU + Linke + AfD86 of 130
- CDU + Linke + Grüne83 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Grüne81 of 130
- Linke + AfD + Grüne80 of 130
- CDU + Linke + SPD79 of 130
- CDU + AfD + SPD77 of 130
- Linke + AfD + SPD76 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + SPD74 of 130
- Linke + Grüne + SPD73 of 130
- AfD + Grüne + SPD71 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.