Single poll

Civey poll of 17 September 2026 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
Der Tagesspiegel
Fieldwork period
3 to 17 Sep 2026
Respondents
3,000
Method
Online
  • Linke21.0%+2.0
  • CDU20.0%±0
  • AfD18.0%±0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • SPD12.0%-1.0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • FDP2.5%-0.5
  • Others6.5%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Sep 2026.

In this poll Civey has Linke ahead on 21.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 3,000 people were surveyed from 3 to 17 Sep 2026, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Sep 2026, Linke gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +0.5average 19.5
  • FDP -0.5average 3.0
  • Linke -0.3average 21.3
  • BSW -0.3average 4.3
  • Grüne +0.2average 15.8
  • AfD ±0average 18.0
  • SPD ±0average 12.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

Linke: 31 seatsCDU: 30 seatsAfD: 27 seatsGrüne: 24 seatsSPD: 18 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • Linke31
  • CDU30
  • AfD27
  • Grüne24
  • SPD18
  • Linke + CDU + AfD88 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + Grüne85 of 130
  • Linke + AfD + Grüne82 of 130
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne81 of 130
  • Linke + CDU + SPD79 of 130
  • Linke + AfD + SPD76 of 130
  • CDU + AfD + SPD75 of 130
  • Linke + Grüne + SPD73 of 130
  • CDU + Grüne + SPD72 of 130
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD69 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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