Civey poll of 7 May 2026 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Der Tagesspiegel
- Fieldwork period
- 21 Apr 2026 to 5 May 2026
- Respondents
- 3,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU20.0%-3.0
- AfD17.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- Linke16.0%±0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- BSW3.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 30 Mar 2026.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 20.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 3,000 people were surveyed from 21 Apr 2026 to 5 May 2026, method Online, commissioned by Der Tagesspiegel.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 30 Mar 2026, CDU loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.0average 3.0
- AfD -0.5average 17.5
- SPD +0.5average 15.5
- Grüne -0.5average 16.5
- Linke -0.5average 16.5
- BSW -0.5average 3.5
- CDU ±0average 20.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU31
- AfD26
- SPD25
- Grüne24
- Linke24
- CDU + AfD + SPD82 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Grüne81 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Linke81 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Grüne80 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke80 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke79 of 130
- AfD + SPD + Grüne75 of 130
- AfD + SPD + Linke75 of 130
- AfD + Grüne + Linke74 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke73 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.