Pollster and election
Civey on the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
6 polls since 5 March 2017, the latest from 12 May 2022 for DER SPIEGEL. Against the current average of all pollsters, Civey has SPD +13.5 and AfD -12.5.
- CDU32.0%+3.0
- SPD29.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%-2.0
- AfD7.0%±0
- Linke3.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%±0
32.0%
+3.0
CDU
29.0%
-1.0
SPD
16.0%
-1.0
Grüne
7.0%
-2.0
FDP
7.0%
±0
AfD
3.0%
+1.0
Linke
6.0%
±0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the Civey poll of 22 Apr 2022.
Trend
All Civey figures for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
Accuracy
Civey before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 15 May 2022 (poll 12 May 2022)2.0 ptsbiggest miss CDU -3.7
- Election 14 May 2017 (poll 12 May 2017)0.8 ptsbiggest miss CDU -1.4
Archive
All 6 polls
| Pollster | Published | CDU | SPD | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civey | 12 May 2022 | 32 | 29 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| Civey | 22 Apr 2022 | 29 | 30 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| Civey | 15 Jun 2018 | 33.7 | 24.4 | 9.6 | 10.9 | 9.7 | 7.2 | 4.5 |
| Civey | 12 May 2017 | 31.6 | 32.5 | 6.4 | 12.6 | 6.4 | 5.7 | 4.8 |
| Civey | 21 Apr 2017 | 29.7 | 39 | 6 | 9.2 | 8.6 | 4.5 | 3 |
| Civey | 5 Mar 2017 | 32 | 35.1 | 7.9 | 7.6 | 9.3 | 5.1 | 3 |