Civey poll of 15 June 2018 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 25 May 2018 to 14 Jun 2018
- Respondents
- 5,951
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU33.7%+2.1
- SPD24.4%-8.1
- FDP10.9%-1.7
- AfD9.7%+3.3
- Grüne9.6%+3.2
- Linke7.2%+1.5
- Others4.5%-0.3
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 12 May 2017.
In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 33.7%, followed by SPD on 24.4%. 5,951 people were surveyed from 25 May 2018 to 14 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 12 May 2017, SPD loses 8.1 points, AfD gains 3.3 points, Grüne gains 3.2 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.4average 23.0
- Grüne -1.4average 11.0
- CDU -0.8average 34.5
- FDP +0.4average 10.5
- AfD +0.2average 9.5
- Linke +0.2average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU64
- SPD46
- FDP21
- Grüne18
- AfD18
- Linke14
- CDU + SPD110 of 181
- CDU + FDP + Grüne103 of 181
- CDU + FDP + AfD103 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + AfD100 of 181
- CDU + FDP + Linke99 of 181
- CDU + Grüne + Linke96 of 181
- CDU + AfD + Linke96 of 181
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.