Single poll

Civey poll of 12 May 2017 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
Spiegel Online / RP Online
Fieldwork period
6 to 11 May 2017
Respondents
5,031
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD32.5%-6.5
  • CDU31.6%+1.9
  • FDP12.6%+3.4
  • Grüne6.4%+0.4
  • AfD6.4%-2.2
  • Linke5.7%+1.2
  • Others4.8%+1.8

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 21 Apr 2017.

In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 32.5%, followed by CDU on 31.6%. 5,031 people were surveyed from 6 to 11 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Spiegel Online / RP Online.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 21 Apr 2017, SPD loses 6.5 points, FDP gains 3.4 points, AfD loses 2.2 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +1.0average 30.6
  • AfD -1.0average 7.4
  • FDP +0.8average 11.8
  • Grüne -0.5average 6.9
  • Linke -0.3average 6.0
  • SPD +0.1average 32.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 62 seatsCDU: 60 seatsFDP: 24 seatsGrüne: 12 seatsAfD: 12 seatsLinke: 11 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • SPD62
  • CDU60
  • FDP24
  • Grüne12
  • AfD12
  • Linke11
  • SPD + CDU122 of 181
  • SPD + FDP + Grüne98 of 181
  • SPD + FDP + AfD98 of 181
  • SPD + FDP + Linke97 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + Grüne96 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + AfD96 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + Linke95 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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