Single poll

Civey poll of 21 April 2017 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
4 to 20 Apr 2017
Respondents
5,015
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD39.0%+3.9
  • CDU29.7%-2.3
  • FDP9.2%+1.6
  • AfD8.6%-0.7
  • Grüne6.0%-1.9
  • Linke4.5%-0.6
  • Others3.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 5 Mar 2017.

In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 39.0%, followed by CDU on 29.7%. 5,015 people were surveyed from 4 to 20 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 5 Mar 2017, SPD gains 3.9 points, CDU loses 2.3 points, Grüne loses 1.9 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has SPD 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.5average 37.5
  • CDU +0.7average 29.0
  • Linke -0.5average 5.0
  • FDP -0.3average 9.5
  • Grüne -0.3average 6.3
  • AfD -0.2average 8.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 76 seatsCDU: 58 seatsFDP: 18 seatsAfD: 17 seatsGrüne: 12 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • SPD76
  • CDU58
  • FDP18
  • AfD17
  • Grüne12
  • SPD + CDU134 of 181
  • SPD + FDP94 of 181
  • SPD + AfD93 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + AfD93 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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