Single poll

Civey poll of 5 March 2017 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
20 Feb 2017 to 3 Mar 2017
Respondents
3,009
Method
Unbekannt
  • SPD35.1%
  • CDU32.0%
  • AfD9.3%
  • Grüne7.9%
  • FDP7.6%
  • Linke5.1%
  • Others3.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 35.1%, followed by CDU on 32.0%. 3,009 people were surveyed from 20 Feb 2017 to 3 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU 2.3 points higher and SPD 1.9 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +2.3average 29.7
  • SPD -1.9average 37.0
  • Grüne +0.9average 7.0
  • AfD -0.7average 10.0
  • FDP -0.7average 8.3
  • Linke +0.1average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 65 seatsCDU: 60 seatsAfD: 17 seatsGrüne: 15 seatsFDP: 14 seatsLinke: 10 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • SPD65
  • CDU60
  • AfD17
  • Grüne15
  • FDP14
  • Linke10
  • SPD + CDU125 of 181
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne97 of 181
  • SPD + AfD + FDP96 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP94 of 181
  • SPD + AfD + Linke92 of 181
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne92 of 181
  • CDU + AfD + FDP91 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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