Single poll

Civey poll of 22 April 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
13 to 20 Apr 2022
Respondents
3,000
Method
Online
  • SPD30.0%+5.6
  • CDU29.0%-4.7
  • Grüne17.0%+7.4
  • FDP9.0%-1.9
  • AfD7.0%-2.7
  • Linke2.0%-5.2
  • Others6.0%+1.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 15 Jun 2018.

In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 3,000 people were surveyed from 13 to 20 Apr 2022, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 15 Jun 2018, Grüne gains 7.4 points, SPD gains 5.6 points, Linke loses 5.2 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.5average 15.5
  • CDU -1.3average 30.3
  • Linke -1.1average 3.1
  • FDP +0.9average 8.1
  • SPD -0.6average 30.6
  • AfD +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 59 seatsCDU: 57 seatsGrüne: 33 seatsFDP: 18 seatsAfD: 14 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • SPD59
  • CDU57
  • Grüne33
  • FDP18
  • AfD14
  • SPD + CDU116 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne92 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP108 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD104 of 181
  • SPD + FDP + AfD91 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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