Single poll

Civey poll of 12 May 2022 for the North Rhine-Westphalia state election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
5 to 12 May 2022
Respondents
4,001
Method
Online
  • CDU32.0%+3.0
  • SPD29.0%-1.0
  • Grüne16.0%-1.0
  • FDP7.0%-2.0
  • AfD7.0%±0
  • Linke3.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 22 Apr 2022.

In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 4,001 people were surveyed from 5 to 12 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 22 Apr 2022, CDU gains 3.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +1.2average 30.8
  • FDP -0.8average 7.8
  • SPD +0.7average 28.3
  • Grüne -0.7average 16.7
  • Linke +0.1average 2.9
  • AfD ±0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

181 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 63 seatsSPD: 58 seatsGrüne: 32 seatsFDP: 14 seatsAfD: 14 seatsMajority from 91181of 181 seats
  • CDU63
  • SPD58
  • Grüne32
  • FDP14
  • AfD14
  • CDU + SPD121 of 181
  • CDU + Grüne95 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP104 of 181
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD104 of 181
  • CDU + FDP + AfD91 of 181
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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